Nearly 14 million Americans aged 65 and older will have Alzheimer disease or related dementias (ADRD) by 2060, according to new estimates from the CDC published in Alzheimer’s & Dementia.

Using Medicare claims data on ADRD prevalence in 2014 plus U.S. Census Bureau population projections through 2060, CDC researchers estimated that the prevalence of ADRD will double from 2014 to 2060, from 1.6% to 3.3% of the population. The largest increase will be seen among Hispanics, and black adults will have the highest prevalence. However, white adults will still carry the highest ADRD burden.  The researchers note that the projected increase is driven largely by the projected increase in the population aged 65 and older.